Tuesday, January 19, 2010

Coakley/Brown Election Watch

I plan to keep an eye on the election today and post here what I find. I'll post the most recent updates at the top of the list.

COAKLEY CONCEDES! (8:32 p.m. CST) Waiting for Coakley to speak to her "crowd."

THE AP PROJECTS THAT SCOTT BROWN WINS! (8:22 p.m. CST) Vote remains 53%, 46%. Pandemonium in Massachusetts! Health care is DEAD. Cap and Trade is DEAD. This isn't just an election, it's a Second American Revolution. MASSACHUSETTS MIRACLE! Scott Brown is a symbol in this country for something very much larger than just one Senate race.

I can't get ANY of my usual websites to load right now tonight. This is big--this is huge.

Update. (8:00 p.m. CST) Michelle Malkin has a election night liveblog. Go there for updates. I'm done for now. I'm calling the election for Brown. Whoo-hoo.

Update. (7:55 p.m. CST) A call for Brown may be imminent. Michelle Malkin's site won't load.

Update: (7:51 p.m. CST) 39% of vote in: 53% Brown, 47% Coakley. This comes from O'Reilly on Fox News.

Update. (7:45 p.m. CST) Polls in Massachusetts have been closed for 45 minutes. Here's an Open Thread at HotAir: Eeyore at HotAir (Allahpundit) says Coakley 50, Brown 48. BS, I say!

A good omen from Twitter: “BREAKING: Scott Brown has carried the bellwether town of Ashland, 54-45. All votes in Ashland are counted.”

With more than 10% in, Fox Boston says Brown leads by seven.

21% Reporting: Brown 53%, Coakley 46%

Update. (2:30 p.m. CST) Here's another poll report from American Thinker--"Pollster.com: Brown 'Likely Winner.'" Pollster.com has examined the trendlines and finds the switch to Brown over the last fortnight to be solid and significant that Coakley's chances for a surprise upset depend largely on something approaching a miracle.

And the day wouldn't be complete without an update from my favorite, Robot Gibbs, WH press sec'y. This report is from the Weekly Standard Blog--"Gibbs: Voters are frustrated, Obama's frustrated with Mass. situation." This is written by one of my (real) favorites, Mary Katharine Ham. MK reports that Captain Obvious Gibbs says that Obama is "not pleased"; that it's a "heavily contested" election. Ham's analysis is spot-on, as usual.

Update. (2:10 p.m. CST) Turnout is heavy, reports HotAir and other sites: That could be good, bad, or even both. So far, it seems that the turnout is highest in the suburbs, which is a good sign for Brown.

The WSJ is reporting that there will be no exit polling today, evidently because it was believed the election would be a Coakley blowout; just nine days ago the Boston Globe was reporting Coakley up by nine points. So we won't have news from exit polls. The polls close at 8:00 p.m. Massachusetts time.

HotAir and other sites have a link to report fraud.

Gateway Pundit. A Democratic operative familiar the DSCC’s massive get-out-the-vote operation says that outreach workers in and around Boston have been stunned by the number of Democrats and Obama supporters who are waving them off, saying they’ll vote for Scott Brown.

Update. (10:55 a.m. CST) Here's an interesting article from Politico: "Dems may flee scene of health care crime." But the bottom line is this, aides close the situation say: Despite talk about how the White House wants to ram the measure through, resolve among terrified Democrats will likely crack if not crumble, even if Coakley somehow manages to pull out a win.

Update. (10:50 a.m. CST) There must be big-time heavy traffic on HotAir and Michelle Malkin's site today--having trouble getting either site to load.

Update. (10:45 a.m. CST) Here's an email from someone voting today in Massachusetts.

I voted in an upper-middle class Boston suburb this morning around 9:00 AM. The polling place was very busy. Short wait time, but still a stream of people going in and out. I drove by another nearby polling place that was busy. Both locations had two Brown volunteers (in the slushy snow) on the street with signs, one was homemade. No Coakley volunteers, just one sign stuck in a snowbank.

I stopped for a haircut at a place with two old guys who know everyone and make it a habit to collect local information. They said LOTS of people are voting for Brown. One of them said he grew up here in a Catholic neighborhood where his grandmother basically told him you wouldn’t get into heaven if you voted Republican. He said he’s taking his chances and voting for Brown. He was adamant about it.

Update.(10:30 a.m. CST) Legal Insurrection is live-blogging on-the-ground election coverage. As the man says, the live feed is slow because of HEAVY volume. The new journalism at work.

Update. (10:15 a.m. CST) Here's something I found at Gateway Pundit, an always-reliable source. Rep. Anthony Weiner (D-NY) told MSNBC reporters today that if Scott Brown wins then “health care might be dead.” From your lips to God's ears, my friend.

Update. (9:30 a.m. CST) Here's an election forecast from American Thinker, giving Brown about a 70-75% chance to win. AT says that Big MO is on Brown's side. No kidding.

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